BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (9th March 2019)

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Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

It’s the calm before the storm this coming Saturday with the Cheltenham Festival looming on the horizon. However, still plenty to get stuck into with the ITV cameras to take in four races at Sandown Park that include the competitive Imperial Cup – a race the sponsors put up an additional bonus of £100k should the winner go onto land any race the 2019 Cheltenham Festival – the last horse to do the double was Gaspara in 2007, who were all trained by the Pipe stable!

We’ve also two LIVE ITV races on the AW to take in from Wolverhampton, including the Lincoln Handicap Trial – yes, all the racing talk might be about Cheltenham at the moment, but the start of the flat turf season is also not far away!

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Matchbook VIP “National Hunt” Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f173y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Carried 10-11 or more
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 129 or less
13/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Had won over this trip before
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

2.25 – Matchbook Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Rated 124 or higher
12/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-7 or less
10/16 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara – Fred Winter)
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – French bred
5/16 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.00 – EBF Stallions/TBA Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV

15/15 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
14/15 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
13/15 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15– Won last time out
10/15 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
9/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
1/15 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.35 – Matchbook Racing Is Commission Free Handicap Chase Cl3 3m37y ITV

14/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
14/16 – Carried 11-1 or more
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 –  Rated between 125-134
13/16 – Aged 8 or older
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
Pete The Feat (9/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Sunbets.co.uk Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Won over a mile (or further) before
13/16– Won at least three times before
13/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/16 – Came from stall 8 or higher
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Big Country (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.15 – Sunbets.co.uk Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV

11/12 – Had won over 7f before
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/12 – Rated 104 or higher
7/12 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
6/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
4/12 – Winning favourite
2/12 – Trained by Marco Botti
Second Thought (8/11) won the race in 2018

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

 

 

 

The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (9th March 2019) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

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